Before I ever saw a 100x return, I made a rookie mistake that cost me dearly. I'm sharing the full story of how I misread a term sheets and lost $250,000, so you don't have to learn this lesson the hard way. It was a painful but powerful education in what really matters in venture.
What I've Learned From 47 Companies
Across 234 angel investments, including Anthropic, a few patterns in term sheets come up again and again.
The founders who handle term sheets well understand that the market doesn't care about your roadmap.
The Reality Nobody Talks About
A lot of the advice on term sheets rests on assumptions that made sense five years ago. The world has moved on.
The first thing to understand is that the data tells a different story than your gut. I've seen this play out across dozens of companies. The pattern is unmistakable.
Many teams spend months on the wrong path before realizing that your team matters more than your technology. Once they make the switch, everything changes.
What I Tell Founders
Before deciding anything about term sheets, start with three questions:
What's your timeline? Because the right approach for a company with 6 months of runway is very different from one with 3 years.
What have you already tried? Most founders have tried something. Understanding what didn't work is often more valuable than knowing what might.
Who on your team owns this? If the answer is "everyone" or "no one," that's your first problem to solve.
These questions seem simple but they reveal a lot about where a company actually stands.
This connects to broader themes around term sheets, portfolio construction, SPVs that I've been thinking about a lot lately.
What's Next
Best practice in term sheets is changing fast. What worked last year might not work next year. That's both the challenge and the opportunity.
My advice: stay curious, stay humble, and stay close to the people who are actually doing the work. Read less thought leadership and do more experiments. Talk to fewer consultants and more practitioners.
If you're building in this space, the best time to get term sheets right is before you need to. Don't wait for a crisis to force your hand.
I'll keep sharing what I learn. This stuff matters too much to keep to myself.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q:What's the most common pushback you get on this?
People often push back by citing exceptions or edge cases. And they're usually right that exceptions exist. But building a strategy around exceptions rather than patterns is a losing game for most founders.
Q:Do all experts agree with this view?
No, and that's fine. The best ideas in business are often contrarian. I share my perspective based on my experience and data, but I encourage you to seek out opposing viewpoints and form your own conclusions.
Q:How can I apply this thinking to my own situation?
Start by identifying the core principle behind the opinion, not the specific example. Then ask yourself: does this principle apply to my context? If yes, test it in a small, low-risk way before going all in.
Q:How has this view evolved over time?
My thinking on most topics has changed significantly over the years. Early in my career, I held many conventional views that experience proved wrong. I try to update my beliefs when the evidence changes.