We spent six months analyzing the data from over 500 AI teams. The results were not what we expected. Here's the single most important factor that predicts whether an AI team will succeed or fail.
The Framework That Actually Works
Here is a simple framework for evaluating AI teams. It's not complicated, but it requires discipline.
Step 1: customer feedback is the only metric that matters
This is where most people go wrong. They skip this step entirely and jump straight to execution. Don't do that.
Step 2: the data tells a different story than your gut
Once you have the foundation right, this becomes much easier. I've watched founders struggle with this for months when the answer was staring them in the face.
Step 3: Iterate relentlessly
Nothing works perfectly the first time. The companies that get AI teams right treat it as an ongoing process, not a one-time project.
The Counterintuitive Truth
In AI teams, the best practitioners often do less, not more.
The lesson: you should focus on one thing and do it exceptionally well. It sounds simple. It's incredibly hard to execute.
What I've Learned From 24 Companies
A few patterns in AI teams come up again and again.
The founders who handle AI teams well understand that your team matters more than your technology.
The Numbers Don't Lie
Investing early in AI teams can be the difference between raising your next round and running out of runway.
One of my portfolio companies went from struggling to profitable in under a year after they finally got serious about this. The founder told me later that they wished they'd started sooner.
This connects to broader themes around AI transformation leadership, AI leadership skills, leading through uncertainty, managing AI teams, chief AI officer that I've been thinking about a lot lately.
What's Next
Best practice in AI teams is changing fast. What worked last year might not work next year. That's both the challenge and the opportunity.
My advice: stay curious, stay humble, and stay close to the people who are actually doing the work. Read less thought leadership and do more experiments. Talk to fewer consultants and more practitioners.
If you're building in this space, the best time to get AI teams right is before you need to. Don't wait for a crisis to force your hand.
I'll keep sharing what I learn. This stuff matters too much to keep to myself.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q:What experience informs this perspective?
This perspective comes from over a decade of building companies in Silicon Valley, two successful exits (RemoteTeam to Gusto, MovieLaLa to Gfycat), and investing in 234 startups including Anthropic, OpenAI, and Scale AI. I write about what I've lived.
Q:How has this view evolved over time?
My thinking on most topics has changed significantly over the years. Early in my career, I held many conventional views that experience proved wrong. I try to update my beliefs when the evidence changes.
Q:How can I apply this thinking to my own situation?
Start by identifying the core principle behind the opinion, not the specific example. Then ask yourself: does this principle apply to my context? If yes, test it in a small, low-risk way before going all in.
Q:Do all experts agree with this view?
No, and that's fine. The best ideas in business are often contrarian. I share my perspective based on my experience and data, but I encourage you to seek out opposing viewpoints and form your own conclusions.